Bright. As it continues to grow, and MS gets more terrible I think desktop share will always increase.
I seriously worry about what happens when Linus decides to end his involvement though. I don’t keep up with the happens of the kernel devs but the thought of a split, takeover or power vacuum is a concern for me. Hopefully someone can assure me.
My exact concern too. Don’t see it as an imminent problem, but would like some sort of succession plan or even to develop some sort of framework to ensure the kernel endures after Linus stops being involved.
There is a continuity process at least https://github.com/torvalds/linux/commit/102606402f4f5943266160e263c450fdfe4dd981 Although it is mainly, here is the process to figure out the plan.
Through a monitor… probably customizable Vr based DE’s or something if I’m being real
What I hope is every institution and company has a costum (or bought license to a costum) linux distro which is reliable and stable and fullfill their needs, without having to pay to bug tech nor share all their data with them, but instead a ecosystem where the companies has their own linux devs or IT-department for their linux instead of current SD departments with focus on microsoft environment. Smaller businesses or institutions should be able to buy IT equipment with preinstalled and supported distros to their need.
10% desktop usage by 2040, possibly 2035 if Microslop keeps being Linux’s #1 marketer.
Just `man future` .
Seriously, RTFM.
/s jk, this comment brought to you by parody.
THE FUTURE IS NOW!
, old man.
In future there will be a “next generation” Linux,
not microkernel, but also not so monolithic.
More modular subsystems, drivers will be easier to write.
Native sandboxing.
Deprecation of classic POSIX permissions, file ACL by default.
Rewritten network userspace tools,
everything could be declared in one file (like in the network equipment).
Yet another desktop server.
Desktop will respond near real-time.
Better audio experience, low latency by design, no more xruns.And more…
Depends where hardware will go. Like another architecture?How could the subsystems be more modular?
My understanding is almost everything in the kernel is modular outside of the schedular
is this stuff being worked on?
Wow. Every word of that is frightening.
So what your saying is 40 years of bike shedding. The more things change the more they stay the same
Like today, just better? It’s likely still going to power most of the servers, 70% of smartphones, a lot of the embedded devices… And maybe desktop marketshare is going to rise a bit above the current 4%.
I think it’s going to start skyrocketing in global desktop use. Maybe not in the US, but globally lots of other countries have good reason to migrate away from US based software companies
I see Linux being more and more widely adopted in Europe, for one. I imagine there will either be an ‘EU standardized’ distro forked to prevent any issues of interoperability between government systems. Hopefully, such a widespread adoption for PCs encourages more development for Linux from software devs.
Brighten than ever, thanks to Steam Deck and Microsoft’s general idiocy.
Since I first learned about Linux I have never envisioned a future where Linux didn’t eventually take over essentially all operating system spaces and I still don’t. The question is how long will it take to get there.
But as others have said, I think the overall decline of desktop PC use combined with the just pure overall quality of Linux compared to Mac and Windows PCs in 2026 implies that the x86 PC space will become majority Linux within the next 10 years if not less.
My money is on 2027 as The Year Of The Linux Desktop.
My money is on 1999 as the year of the Linux desktop. I mean, that’s when I switched to Linux full time 🤷
Similarly, 2025 wasn’t the year of Linux desktop… but it was the year of Linux on my desktop.
Same here. Debian since Slink.
Bad.
Linux will become the new compromised OS
not far removed from Android,
while GNU Hurd will become the new Linux.Time-limited.
The recent changes to how the digital world operates are not conducive to open operating systems and I imagine this trend will accelerate.
Only if we allow it.
Linux itself is an important part of tech today, llms, servers, Iot etc, it will be like that in the future too.
The linux desktop is improving a lot and receiving more attention , im excited to see gog galaxy on linux personally.
KDE makes great things too, and im looking forward to see the Vr mode for Plasma and Plasma bigscreen.
As for linux on mobiles, i hope it gets better, the thing about google closing down android worries me!.
Linux always gets better. Thats something i really love about linux. There are a lot of communities doing great work on a lot of aspects everyday.
