I feel like the big question is going to be how Trump responds, since he’s a flip of a coin. This agreement could get him the ability to disengage from the Middle East to focus on Cuba (what he wants, not what I want), but I can see the Zionist wing in office not wanting peace between the Arab world and Iran.
Maybe the Arab world would choose to break with the USA over this. However, I don’t know what the implications would be if that happened.
Pretty much all arab leadership want “peace” with Israel. The issue is the Arab street/people absolutely do not want to with varying degrees.
IMO this depends more on economy than relations. If gulf oil is seen as too risky, or restricted by Iran after this, then that would gradually release the USA’s interest in the gulf, as Washington pivots towards greater energy independence and oil integration with LATAM. However, Israel will always swing the American MIC towards war with ME countries (probably Turkiye and/or Syria next after Lebanon and Iran today)
I hope so too.
I feel like the big question is going to be how Trump responds, since he’s a flip of a coin. This agreement could get him the ability to disengage from the Middle East to focus on Cuba (what he wants, not what I want), but I can see the Zionist wing in office not wanting peace between the Arab world and Iran.
Maybe the Arab world would choose to break with the USA over this. However, I don’t know what the implications would be if that happened.
Pretty much all arab leadership want “peace” with Israel. The issue is the Arab street/people absolutely do not want to with varying degrees.
IMO this depends more on economy than relations. If gulf oil is seen as too risky, or restricted by Iran after this, then that would gradually release the USA’s interest in the gulf, as Washington pivots towards greater energy independence and oil integration with LATAM. However, Israel will always swing the American MIC towards war with ME countries (probably Turkiye and/or Syria next after Lebanon and Iran today)