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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • “Doogie Howser here hasn’t even had a day of med school, but thanks to AI he’s writing 5000 drug prescriptions per day!”

    “We literally found this homeless man on the street ranting about lizard people, and now thanks to AI he’s the the biggest stud at the hedge fund, making hundreds of multi-billion dollar trades every day!”

    “Betty here failed out of high school and can’t even pronounce ‘nuclear’ properly, but thanks to AI she wrote the entire atomic power plant safety manual in a day.”

    “Would you believe that Fred is still in a coma? Yeah, doctors say he’s ‘in a persistent vegetative state’ and ‘never going to recover after that i-beam crushed his head’, and ‘what you people are doing is both cruel and insane’. But, we hooked DeepSeek up to his respirator and heart monitor and connected some black and red wires together and he’s back to working as an air traffic controller!”




  • Also, having no work-life balance is different if you own a significant fraction of the company vs. if you’re on salary.

    Like, if Jensen Huang spends 12 hours over the weekend working on something for nVidia and increases the share price by 0.01% (with a $4.165 trillion market cap, this means it goes up $416 million), his personal net worth will go up by $14.7m. Not bad for a little weekend work.

    Let’s assume that someone who is on salary is on something absurd like $1m per year and gets a 500% bonus for working overtime. Their 12 hours of weekend work is going to net them $28k. That’s certainly nice, but it’s about 1/500th of what Huang gets. And, your average engineer probably doesn’t get overtime at all, and if they did it would be closer to $3k not $30k.

    If someone who owns a business wants to have a bad work-life balance, that’s one thing. But, it should never be expected of anybody who’s just on salary.


  • Most technology adoption follows an S curve

    For successful technologies. Sometimes technologies just don’t catch on, like 3d TVs, or VR or Segways. Then the curve is more up then back down to zero.

    But yeah, this time might be different. Linux has more or less reached feature parity with Windows. Games run just as well or better under Linux, with only a little bit of fiddling. That alone might not be enough, but having that happen when Windows 10 is reaching end of life, and Microsoft wants you to buy new expensive hardware for the privilege of moving to Windows 11, and just as they’re adding all kinds of new ads and AI bullshit into Windows.

    Personally, I’m already on Linux, so my main reason for hoping it gets more momentum is so that device manufacturers make sure their drivers work well in Linux. Full driver support and full software support for devices is the main thing that’s still a bit of a pain.


  • Yeah, even an established creator is going to have a hard time moving their audience.

    If YouTube weren’t a near monopoly it would be different. Then other companies would be competing for creators.

    Making it worse is section 1201 of the DMCA. It makes it a crime to circumvent access controls. In the past, Facebook was able to grow by providing tools to interface with MySpace. People didn’t have to abandon their MySpace friends, they could communicate with them through Facebook, and Facebook could ensure that messages sent on its platform arrived to people still on MySpace. But, if you tried that today Facebook has access controls in place that make that a crime. The same applies to YouTube. Nobody can build a seamless “migrate away from YouTube” experience because YouTube will use the DMCA to block them.

    The governments of the world need to bring back antitrust with teeth and force interoperability.





  • Apply my rules to both cases, and the media is lying

    And so are you. Those are your rules. You chose them, and so now they apply to you.

    Apply your rules in both cases, and the media isn’t lying, and neither am I

    Apply my rules and we don’t know if the media is lying, but there’s no evidence to suggest that they knew that what they were saying is untrue, so it’s unreasonable to say they’re lying. As for you, who knows.

    Your bias is so obvious

    My bias? You’re the guy who claims the media is lying without any evidence that they knew what they were saying was wrong, and you insist that you can still call that lying. But, when that same standard is applied to you, you want to reject it. You want to have your cake and eat it too, liar.


  • You didn’t present evidence of lying, you presented evidence that what they reported ended up being untrue. That’s part of lying, and I don’t dispute that part. The key part is that they knew that what they were reporting was untrue and they reported it anyway. You’ve presented no evidence to support that.

    So, based on your rules, I can say you’re a liar, because you’ve said some things that are not true, so I’m just going to assume that you know they’re untrue and you’re lying.