The planting season is happening right now

Which means the planting supplies were lined up months ago. This will be a next-year thing if it cannot be corrected for in time.

The LNG plants are going to take years to repair

One section of one country’s exports in a global economy. And that’s ignoring the fact that the Straight isn’t shut down for everyone. The IRGC is negotiating passage for a bunch of unaligned states. Pakistan is going to get their fertilizer. China and Russia will get their supplies. Italy and Spain will be fine. It’s the US-Israel block that’s in trouble. And given how much fertilizer the US produces domestically, not even that much trouble.

However, some developing countries will have genuine shortages.

The biggest threat to developing countries is western intervention. The famines happening along the Horn of Africa are the direct result of US, Israeli, and Qatari backed military interventions.

There’s almost certainly going to be a farming crisis

Over a long enough timeline, sure.

We’ve already seen egg prices skyrocket thanks to bird flu and beef production sag due to drought and Texas Cattle Fever. I have no doubt we’ll continue to see agricultural productivity drag as ecological conditions worsen.

But the fixation on the Straight of Hormuz as a but-for cause to a global agricultural crash jumps the gun for a host of reasons. The most notable of which is that we heavily overproduce agricultural goods and end up subsidizing their wholesale prices. The biggest problems populations have with famine in the modern era is of storage, distribution, and financialization, not raw productivity. A hiccup in the supply of nitrogen rich fertilizer isn’t going to empty anyone’s shelves.

dissentdaily.com

Just looks like a click farming site that targets left-libertarians.

She stands in a supermarket aisle, looking at the price of baby formula.

A notification flashes on her phone. Headlines about Trump. Iran. Threats. Escalation. She reads it quickly, almost without thinking.

Then she looks back at the shelf.

Her mind starts connecting things.

Like, this isn’t journalism it’s prose

A bit more complicated than that. But, yes. They did a mass implementation of a technology they didn’t understand and then bungled it’s use.

Glances at AI

I’m sure nobody will make that mistake again.

Idk, did they list their pronouns or open the briefing with a reading from Marcus Aurelius?

Don’t think that plane is going to rise again in three days.

Well, but that’s impossible. In China, he won’t have any freedom. He needs to stay in the United States where he can pursue research into biology and medic- door bang

shouts of military police

repeated gunfire

screams of terrified research assistants

confused orders from multiple officers at once

more gunfire

moaning from injured civilians

more gunfire

radio chatter from officers

“Yeah, they were armed. Looks like syringes and a bunson burner. Yes. All illegal. Yes, we’re cleaning up now. No need to report this up the chain, they already know. Signing out.”

So long as there is no criminal prosecution and threat of material jail time against him, Jones is free to keep hiding the fiscal sausage by transferring ownership and shuffling around money between accounts in other people’s names. I’m sure this is an expensive and obnoxious process on Alex’s end. But it’s a small price to pay to shield hundreds of millions of dollars from any kind of court judgement.

Add in that Jones has plenty of friends in the Texas state house and the Austin PD. So he can very easily skirt processors, ignore out-of-state court orders, and glad hand sheriff’s deputies who would otherwise pursue collections against him, simply because he’s got popular clout in his big reactionary backwater.

At some point, the problem isn’t with the courts but the police. Judges and juries don’t do the collections themselves.

I can oppose both Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US/Israel war on Iran.

Two enormous armies in a proxy war on foreign soil is nightmarish for the people forced to endure. All so that the Pentagon and the Russian MOD can have a dick swinging contest without touching tips.

But there’s this insane Westoid reasoning that says Total War is fine when we do it. It only becomes a crime when anyone else cribs from our notebooks.

Why wouldn’t they? We did the same for Ukraine. They get to inflict the same kind of attrition on US forces that we intended to inflict on them during their own disastrous operations.

Each one of these that bite the dust means 5-10 less planes raining bombs on Tehran.

These aren’t just bombers. They’re part of the air force’s command and control structure. You fly one of these planes at high altitude and use it to command a fleet of fighter-bombers. Losing five of them functionally puts dozens of more basic aircraft out of commission.

Americans have wanted to invade Iran going back to the Reagan administration. Trump’s just so zooted up on his own supply that he thought he could make it happen.

That’s okay, though. We’re going to invade Cuba next. We can stop blaming Zionists and point the finger squarely at Florida Billionaires going forward.

We get to pay for that.

Can we even build these planes anymore? The C-17 was produced by McDonald Douglas, a company that went bankrupt back in '97 and had to be acquired by Boeing. Now Boeing is way behind on orders, because they’ve outsourced themselves to the hilt in the same way that ruined Douglas.

This isn’t just an issue of the fiscal costs. The US literally cannot produce airliners reliably anymore. Boeing is increasingly just booking orders it cannot fulfill. Even if Hegseth gets a blank check from the Treasury, this equipment isn’t going to be replaced any time soon.

Pete Hegseth going over to his emergency appropriations request and adding another zero to the back end.

Shock Doctrine was a fantastic piece of work.

Idk if she’s moderated, per say. Might just feel that way as the rest of the public has been radicalized

IMO, Lina Khan was maybe the best appointment of the Biden presidency

Hard to disagree with. But then Harris did a bunch of backroom deals as part of her presidential campaign with an eye towards throwing Lina under the bus.

Unfortunately the click-to-cancel rule was struck down by the Court of Appeals

One of the more obnoxious consequences of our modern fascist turn is witnessing the role of the judiciary in theory versus practice. Identify and punish obvious predatory billers and scammers? Totally outside their scope or purview. Gut even the pretext of an administrative regulatory state? No problem.

You’re right that the legislature needs to do their job and formally outlaw these practices, rather than having this be brought up by the FTC and struck down on a procedural matter.

But we’re still back to the question of “Who does the enforcement?” Clearly not the CFPB. Clearly not the SEC or the FCC or the FTC. Clearly not the DOJ. Clearly not any state or local DAs office. Nobody is doing this work, even when they are fully empowered to it. Because if you try to challenge a powerful private entity, a bit of money changes hands and you’re fired.

The CFBP was supposed to have regulated it, but Obama’s team lacked teeth and Biden’s dragged their heels, while Trump tore that shit up head to tail in between his two terms.

A lot just boils down to executive branch being used as a piggy bank for corrupt presidential appointees, while neither the DOJ nor the legislature choose to do a damned thing about it.

each ‘incident’ can v easily have been explained

You hear this from serial sexual harassers all the time. Every individual incident has plausible deniability. It’s the trend line that eventually catches up with you.

your type are to tightly wound up

My type being… big budget advertisers on YouTube?

hed did a bad thing that one time

Far more than the one time. He had a whole routine about exploiting overseas labor to perform humiliating stunts.

If you want to pirate Brave Browser, I don’t think anyone will mind.