cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/45499964
Recently, Donald Trump has been saying that they are going to stop attacks on Iran very soon saying that Tehran has the “Will” for ceasefire. But does USA really plan to leave Iran? Iran on the other hand has been saying that USA is negotiating with itself.
Do you really think USA will leave Iran? Not at all, because if they do it now, mark my words, ‘Iran will make Nuclear Weapons within a year’. This invasion has given them them not just the political will but also the resources required to do so, as we are seeing a new alliance nexus in building i.e North Korea, Iran, China and Russia. Iran now has a justifiable reason to make Nuclear bombs and legitimise them.
And this is exactly why USA cannot leave now. They cannot afford a nuclear powered Iran and hence this ceasefire tactics seems no more than a method to buy some time for ground invasion.
The toughest part for USA will be ‘Iranian Terrain and its blessed Geography’. This is exactly why US’s Operation Eagle Claw failed. I may hate US for its lack of morality at times, but what I absolutely admire about it is its ability to learn from its mistakes. Its hard to believe that after that failed operation USA would have sat idly. They must have learned about Iranian Geography and what systems will be most suitable against them, and if that is so, this will be a major problem for Iran if USA plans ground invasion. USA’s all time friend Israel too has declared that they will not deploy troops in Iran in case of any ground invasion, which I had anticipated because Israel’s priorities are set. They want Lebanon, and once USA is engaged in Iran, Israel will let its army loose on Lebanon, hence taking a big chunk of Lebanon and destroying Hezbollah.
If USA really goes foots on the ground in Iran, no matter how harsh it sounds, but in current world order, no country stands near USA in raw power, USA will eventually emerge victorious and if that happens, Russia can simply annex Ukraine as it will then have a legitimate reason. Can be called a silent deal between two. If the war is too prolonged, China can eventually seize the opportunity and invade Taiwan, which might not get US support as it would be engaged in Iran and at the same time. That would be the perfect time for India as well to take all of Kashmir from Pakistan and China, India can easily overpower Pakistan and China will never engage on a two front war, it will obviously choose Taiwan over Aksai Chin as Taiwan is the means for CPC to legitimise itself. We can say, it will be like a silent deal between major powers, ofcourse only if USA does a ground invasion.
What do you think? Let me know. Join “BharatDefense”, we discuss this in even more detail there.
Jai Hind
Do you really think Russia is failing, and even if it is, if USA launches a boots on the ground operation Iran, the resources would definitely shift from Ukraine to Iran where USA is directly engaged, and when this significant aid is stopped, Russia will definitely get an upper hand.
deleted by creator
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is now in its 5th year with Russian army just a few KM from where they started in 2022. It is pretty clear that Russia has already failed in Ukraine.
Now Russia has started calling in universities to start forcing the bottom 2% of college students to sign up for the army as drone operators in a sure sign that Russia is struggling to get the required numbers to sign up to die for mother Russia.
Russia has been on the back foot and losing territory for 2 months now, I would be surprised to see Russia come back from this shift in momentum now. I think the Iran war will not be a big enough distraction to steady the ship for Russia.
.ml lemmy’s really are different breed…
i havent been keeping track the Ukraine war all that much, i vaguely recall that the EU actually provides most of their material support now and that the US was more financial support? vould be wrong though
If Iran goes hot-er do you think Iran is gonna send Russia any more drones?
They’re (a russian billionare atleast was) talking about instituting 12 day workdays in russia. Its not looking good.
12 days workdays?
Sounds quite harsh.
It was this gobshite suggesting a 12 hour work day.
Yep, more money to be made in a war the US is funding and fighting in directly than in some proxy war. Ukraine will get betrayed by the US again and be put in an even worse position than it ever has been.