Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

  • Evilsandwichman [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    17 hours ago

    So just clarify, Russia, which we were all promised would drop a nuke on Ukraine, still hasn’t (and won’t, let’s be real; this is Russia, not America), while America is most likely about to conduct their second (third if you count Hiroshima and Nagasaki as separate incidents) nuclear attack?

    And you just know the news is gonna whitewash this

      • RamenJunkie@midwest.social
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        6 hours ago

        Trump is desperate to be remebered in history as ANYTHING besides the chikd rapist he is. See also why he has been demolishing DC to build shitty Trump monuments. Dropping a Nuke would put him in the books too.

    • gressen@lemmy.zip
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      16 hours ago

      Nobody is planning a nuclear attack. Name your sources or stop spreading fear and disinformation.

      • hotspur [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        9 hours ago

        I don’t have a link for it, but so far the only source for the nuke rumors I’ve seen is a 4chan post claiming that Israel is going to use tac nukes to disable missile bases and possibly get a leadership bunker in Tehran. The post is worded to suggest that the poster is someone inside some aspect of the operation or military buildup which I suppose is getting people to take it more seriously, but it’s an anonymous source on 4chan, so not something credible.