Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

  • choui4@lemmy.zip
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    21 hours ago

    Ugh, its so true. But like, what about the UN ( i know, i know). What about congress? (Again). Where is anything?

    • Supervisor194@lemmy.world
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      15 hours ago

      But like, what about the UN ( i know, i know).

      Well, I mean, do you? You’re asking about a body created by and hosted in the US and funded also largely by the US. It’s toothless and useless because nobody has ever done anything substantial to legitimize it except the US and now that the US has decided that unilateral fascism is the easy path, what exactly does anyone expect?

      It’s like a microcosm of the sum of Europe’s problems rn, tbh.

      • choui4@lemmy.zip
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        5 hours ago

        But surely there are economic sanctions or SOME even milqtoast consequences that can get ball rolling

        Im aware how reckless the un is but those sorts of rebukes on the international stage DO make a difference