As always, I use the term “AI” loosely. I’m referring to these scary LLMs coming for our jobs.
It’s important to state that I find LLMs to be helpful in very specific use cases, but overall, this is clearly a bubble, and the promises of advance have not appeared despite hundreds of billions of VC thrown at the industry.
So as not to go full-on polemic, we’ll skip the knock-on effects in terms of power-grid and water stresses.
No, what I want to talk about is the idea of software in its current form needing to be as competent as the user.
Simply put: How many of your coworkers have been right 100% of the time over the course of your career? If N>0, say “Hi” to Jesus for me.
I started working in high school, as most of us do, and a 60% success rate was considered fine. At the professional level, I’ve seen even lower with tenure, given how much things turn to internal politics past a certain level.
So what these companies are offering is not parity with senior staff (Ph.D.-level, my ass), but rather the new blood who hasn’t had that one fuckup that doesn’t leave their mind for weeks.
That crucible is important.
These tools are meant to replace inexperience with incompetence, and the beancounters at some clients are likely satisfied those words look similar enough to pass muster.
We are, after all, at this point, the “good enough” country. LLM marketing is on brand.
I’m sure I’ve said all this before. But still. LLMS are very useful tools I don’t doubt that. The problem that no organisation that is “embracing” AI is really considering is how they work.
They essentially rewrite code or art or content they have seen before. If they replace developers, artists and authors/article writers wholesale the only source of new content will be, other AI.
It’s been known from the start that AI feeding on AI very quickly degenerates today garbage in garbage out.
They are also (currently) unable to innovate. So use of AI is going to stifle innovation or even completely kill it.
These are the medium to longer term problems that might only be really realised when the developers, artists and authors have moved onto other work and a lot might just not want to come back.
That’s my main problem with the wholesale use of AI. Used as a tool to complement people doing their job, makes sense and is possible to maintain going forward.